Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Rangers LAA @ TEX

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

62-70  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Aug 27 • 8:05 PM ET
Globe Life Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

67-67  |  Home

20
Probable Pitchers
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jacob Latz
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Latz

#67 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Fermin None-None 5.32 -- 1.0 2
Jacob Latz None-None 3.13 -- 4.1 5
None-None W-L None-None
5.32 ERA Ldr 3.13
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.1
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
47%
📊
RANGERS
53%
ANGELS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Texas)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RangersTEX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

48.7%

Rangers Cover

51.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.2%

TEX By 1-2 runs

18.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.98
LOS ANGELES
4.11
TEXAS
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Texas TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .396
.679
OPS
▲ .713
154
Home Runs
▲ 183
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +32.3% more
Texas: 9.9 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Hits (L5) +22.1% more
Texas: 7.6 vs Los Angeles: 6.3
Home Runs (Season) +18.8% more
Texas: 183.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +18.1% more
Texas: 14.3 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.0 3
TEX Score 4.1 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.6 / 6.3 22.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.6 4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.9 / 7.5 10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.3 / 12.1 39.0 / 14.0
Walks 2.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53% 86-76
59% 96-66
57% 91-70
55% 89-73
ATS
57% 92-70
60% 97-65
61% 98-63
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 78-70-14
53% 83-74-5
55% 81-66-14
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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