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ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

59-72  |  Road

11
FINAL
Tue, Aug 26 • 6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

MARLINSMIA

62-69  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Dylan Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Lee

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tyler Zuber
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Zuber

#55 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dylan Lee None-None 3.36 -- 1.0 1
Tyler Zuber None-None 6.55 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.36 Ldr ERA 6.55
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
48%
📊
MARLINS
52%
BRAVES --
MARLINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 59%
Under 0 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Atlanta)
BravesATL (-3.5) 0 MarlinsMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

58.8%

Marlins Cover

41.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

ATL By 3-4 runs

16.0%

MIA By 1-2 runs

16.6%

MIA By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.3
ATLANTA
4.41
MIAMI
Simulated Score
3
ATLANTA
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Win
48% Win Prob
D
Sim Marlins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim Marlins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 ATL @ MIA 3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026 ATL @ MIA 8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 ATL @ MIA 0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026 MIA @ ATL 3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026 MIA @ ATL 1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta ATL
vs
Miami MIA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
5.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .249
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .326
.433 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.757 ▲
OPS
.727
1
Home Runs
▲ 168
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +23.8% more
Atlanta: 3.6 vs Miami: 2.8
Errors (L5) +15.0% more
Atlanta: 0.3 vs Miami: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season) +11.8% more
Atlanta: 5.0 vs Miami: 4.4
Slugging Pct (Season) +3.3%
Atlanta: 43.3% vs Miami: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 5.3 11
MIA Score 4.4 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.9 / 6.4 12.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.7 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 6.1 8.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 12.1 / 9.6 14.0 / 20.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.6 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
ATL
MIA
ATL
ML
48% 78-84
46% 77-90
55% 88-72
54% 90-78
ATS
56% 91-71
57% 96-71
54% 86-74
52% 87-81
TTL
56% 88-69-5
53% 83-73-11
53% 82-73-5
49% 76-80-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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