CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
76-55 | Road
2
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
63-68 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Matthew Boyd
#16 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Gilbert
#0 | Center Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | None-None | 2.82 | -- | 5.1 | 8 |
| Drew Gilbert | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.82
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
5.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
8
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
60%
GIANTS
40%
CUBS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
18.7%
CHC By 3-4 runs
14.1%
SF By 1-2 runs
18.1%
SF By 3-4 runs
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.47
CHICAGO
San Francisco
3.29
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Loss
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CHC @ SF
1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026
CHC @ SF
6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026
CHC @ SF
5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
San Francisco
SF
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.13
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.306
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.374
OPS
▲
.706
0
Home Runs
▲
178
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+34.1% more
Chicago: 9.0
vs
San Francisco: 5.9
Home Runs (Season)
+17800.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+363.0% more
San Francisco: 4.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+55.8% more
San Francisco: 3.2
vs
Chicago: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
3.5
2
SF Score
3.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 8.1
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.1
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.9 / 9.0
10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.8 / 13.4
15.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.1
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CHC
SF
CHC
ML
49%
79-81
58%
93-68
53%
85-75
51%
82-79
ATS
62%
100-60
61%
97-63-1
52%
83-77
47%
75-85-1
TTL
55%
82-68-10
52%
81-74-6
46%
68-81-11
46%
72-83-6
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox