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CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

68-64  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Aug 26 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

75-57  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Ke'Bryan Hayes
STARTING PITCHER

Ke'Bryan Hayes

#3 | Third Base
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ke'Bryan Hayes None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 3.97 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.97
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
45%
📊
DODGERS
55%
REDS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 42%
Under 0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Los Angeles)
RedsCIN (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Reds Cover

36.7%

Dodgers Cover

63.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

CIN By 1-2 runs

15.4%

CIN By 3-4 runs

9.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.71
CINCINNATI
6.07
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CINCINNATI
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 17, 2026 LAD @ CIN 8 - 2
Sep 16, 2026 LAD @ CIN 2 - 6
Sep 15, 2026 LAD @ CIN 4 - 0
Sep 14, 2026 LAD @ CIN 4 - 1
Sep 9, 2026 CIN @ LAD 1 - 14
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati CIN
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.699
OPS
▲ .762
213 ▲
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +209.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.4 vs Cincinnati: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +63.4% more
Los Angeles: 16.6 vs Cincinnati: 10.2
Runs per Game (Season) +20.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Cincinnati: 4.1
Hits (L5) +10.5% more
Los Angeles: 7.6 vs Cincinnati: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 4.7 3
LAD Score 6.1 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.6 / 6.9 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 2.4 / 0.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 10.5 11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 16.6 / 10.2 17.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.9 / 2.8 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CIN
LAD
CIN
ML
56% 92-73
55% 88-71
48% 79-87
49% 79-81
ATS
59% 98-67
54% 86-73
43% 72-94
50% 80-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 81-73-5
44% 70-90-6
54% 83-72-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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