LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
61-69 | Road
4
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
66-66 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob deGrom
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 4.12 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Jacob deGrom | None-None | 2.79 | -- | 5.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.12
ERA
Ldr 2.79
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
47%
RANGERS
53%
ANGELS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
76%
Under 0
24%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.4%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.0%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.76
LOS ANGELES
Texas
4.29
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
C
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.679
OPS
▲
.713
154
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+61.1% more
Texas: 16.9
vs
Los Angeles: 10.5
Home Runs (L5)
+58.8% more
Texas: 1.9
vs
Los Angeles: 1.2
Hits (L5)
+55.4% more
Texas: 9.4
vs
Los Angeles: 6.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+44.3% more
Texas: 9.6
vs
Los Angeles: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.8
4
TEX Score
4.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.4 / 6.1
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 6.6
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
16.9 / 10.5
5.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53%
86-76
59%
96-66
57%
91-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-65
61%
98-63
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
53%
83-74-5
55%
81-66-14
52%
82-75-5
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