Home / MLB Projections MLB / Twins @ White Sox MIN @ CHW

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

59-70  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Aug 24 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

46-83  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Yoendrys Gomez
STARTING PITCHER

Yoendrys Gomez

#94 | Relief Pitcher
@
Chase Meidroth
STARTING PITCHER

Chase Meidroth

#10 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Yoendrys Gomez None-None 4.73 -- 4.2 6
Chase Meidroth None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
4.73 ERA --
-- WHIP --
4.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
6 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
60%
📊
WHITE SOX
40%
TWINS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

55.8%

White Sox Cover

44.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.2%

MIN By 3-4 runs

15.2%

CHW By 1-2 runs

17.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

11.9%

AI Model Projected Score
4.21
MINNESOTA
3.63
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
B
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
187 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +17.3% more
Minnesota: 4.1 vs Chicago: 3.4
Home Runs (L5) +11.2% more
Minnesota: 1.5 vs Chicago: 1.4
Errors (L5) +42.0% more
Chicago: 0.6 vs Minnesota: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.2 0
CHW Score 3.6 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 10.0 / 8.1 12.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.5 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 7.6 10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 15.2 / 13.8 15.0 / 8.0
Walks 3.4 / 4.1 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
48% 81-87
52% 84-78
56% 94-74
50% 80-81
ATS
59% 99-69
59% 95-67
55% 93-75
59% 95-66
TTL
58% 97-69-2
51% 78-75-9
51% 85-81-2
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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