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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

75-55  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Aug 24 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

61-68  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Zeferjahn
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Zeferjahn

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Zeferjahn None-None 4.68 -- 1.0 1
Jose Fermin None-None 5.56 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.68 Ldr ERA 5.56
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
60%
📊
ANGELS
40%
CUBS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Chicago)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

52.9%

Angels Cover

47.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

CHC By 1-2 runs

18.9%

CHC By 3-4 runs

14.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

12.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.07
CHICAGO
3.78
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cubs Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cubs (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.3
C
Sim Angels (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 6
Mar 31, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 0
Mar 30, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 7
Aug 24, 2025 CHC @ LAA 4 - 3
Aug 23, 2025 CHC @ LAA 12 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Los Angeles LAA
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.04
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .369
.374
OPS
▲ .679
0
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +32.4% more
Chicago: 15.2 vs Los Angeles: 10.3
Hits (L5) +31.2% more
Chicago: 8.1 vs Los Angeles: 5.6
Home Runs (L5) +24.1% more
Chicago: 1.7 vs Los Angeles: 1.3
Strikeouts (L5) +17.3% more
Chicago: 9.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 4.1 4
LAA Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.6 / 8.1 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.7 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 9.0 5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.3 / 15.2 11.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.4 / 2.6 5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHC
LAA
CHC
ML
59% 96-66
58% 93-68
55% 89-73
51% 82-79
ATS
60% 97-65
61% 97-63-1
51% 82-80
47% 75-85-1
TTL
53% 83-74-5
52% 81-74-6
52% 82-75-5
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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