ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
60-71 | Road
4
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
69-61 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Lopez
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Gilbert
#36 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez | None-None | 4.08 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Logan Gilbert | None-None | 3.69 | -- | 6.0 | 13 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.08
ERA
Ldr 3.69
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 13
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
43%
MARINERS
57%
ATHLETICS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.0%
ATH By 3-4 runs
14.7%
SEA By 1-2 runs
17.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
12.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
6.11
ATHLETICS
Seattle
5.73
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Loss
43% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
B
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.719
▲
OPS
.693
194
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+25.9% more
Athletics: 7.1
vs
Seattle: 5.3
Home Runs (Season)
+6.2% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Seattle: 182.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+4.9% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Seattle: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+2.6%
Athletics: 71.9%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
6.1
4
SEA Score
5.7
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.3 / 7.1
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 8.0
15.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 12.0
17.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.1
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATH
SEA
ATH
ML
50%
81-81
59%
95-67
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
98-64
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-71-10
42%
66-90-5
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