Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Robert Morris @ West Virginia RMU @ WVU

ROBERT MORRIS

ROBERT MORRISRMU

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 2:00 PM ET
Milan Puskar Stadium
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

WEST VIRGINIAWVU

0-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Asher Wilson
KEY GAME

Asher Wilson

#9 | Defensive Lineman
@
Jason Chambers
KEY GAME

Jason Chambers

#36 | Cornerback
Player
Asher Wilson None-None
Jason Chambers None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
ROBERT MORRIS
0%
📊
WEST VIRGINIA
100%
ROBERT MORRIS --
WEST VIRGINIA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Robert Morris)
Robert MorrisRMU (-3.5) 0 West VirginiaWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Robert Morris Cover

65.5%

West Virginia Cover

34.5%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around RMU -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)

RMU By 1-6 points

16.8%

RMU By 7-13 points

18.8%

WVU By 1-6 points

13.8%

WVU By 7-13 points

10.8%

AI Model Projected Score
21.49
ROBERT MORRIS
15.91
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
10
ROBERT MORRIS
45
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Robert Morris Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim West Virginia Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Robert Morris (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.6
C
Sim West Virginia (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.4
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 RMU @ WVU 3 - 45
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +101.0% more
West Virginia: 23.3 vs Robert Morris: 11.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +98.5% more
West Virginia: 191.7 vs Robert Morris: 96.5
Total Yards (L5) +83.6% more
West Virginia: 436.4 vs Robert Morris: 237.7
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
West Virginia: 1.6 vs Robert Morris: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 21.5 3
WVU Score 15.9 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.3 / 11.6 26.0 / 8.0
Rushing Yards 191.7 / 96.5 393.0 / 53.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.45 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 436.4 / 237.7 625.0 / 123.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 1.3 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
--
WVU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
--
WVU Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
--
WVU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
RMU
WVU
RMU
ML
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-4-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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