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CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

C CONNECTICUTCCSU

0-0  |  Road

13
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 2:00 PM ET
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
View Odds Details →

UCONN

UCONNCONN

0-0  |  Home

59
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Zach Bonini

#96 | Place kicker
@
Spencer Sullins
KEY GAME

Spencer Sullins

#35 | Punter
Player
Zach Bonini None-None
Spencer Sullins None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
C CONNECTICUT
100%
📊
UCONN
0%
C CONNECTICUT --
UCONN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
35.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.7
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.7 points (UConn)
C ConnecticutCCSU (-3.5) 0 UConnCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

C Connecticut Cover

2.8%

UConn Cover

97.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CONN -26.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

CCSU By 1-6 points

1.7%

CCSU By 7-13 points

0.7%

CONN By 1-6 points

4.4%

CONN By 7-13 points

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
30.89
UCONN
Simulated Score
13
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
41
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI UConn Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim UConn Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI UConn (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.7
C
Sim UConn (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 35.1
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 CCSU @ CONN 13 - 59
Sep 3, 2022 CCSU @ CONN 3 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +81.7% more
UConn: 202.2 vs Central Connecticut: 111.3
First Downs (L5) +59.4% more
UConn: 19.8 vs Central Connecticut: 12.5
Total Yards (L5) +57.4% more
UConn: 375.9 vs Central Connecticut: 238.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +20.0% more
UConn: 0.5 vs Central Connecticut: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score 4.2 13
CONN Score 30.9 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.8 / 12.5 26.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 202.2 / 111.3 250.0 / 128.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.75 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 375.9 / 238.8 638.0 / 257.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
--
CONN Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +9.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
--
CONN Advantage
3-1-1 (75.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +9.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
--
CONN
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +9.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
CCSU
CONN
CCSU
ML
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
20% 1-4
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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