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WEBER STATE

WEBER STWEB

0-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 6:00 PM ET
Bridgeforth Stadium
View Odds Details →

JAMES MADISON

JAMES MADISONJMU

0-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
David Brinton VI
KEY GAME

David Brinton VI

#53 | Linebacker
@
Morgan Suarez
KEY GAME

Morgan Suarez

#5 | Place kicker
Player
David Brinton VI None-None
Morgan Suarez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WEBER ST
100%
📊
JAMES MADISON
0%
WEBER ST --
JAMES MADISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.1
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.1 points (James Madison)
Weber StWEB (-3.5) 0 James MadisonJMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Weber St Cover

12.6%

James Madison Cover

87.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around JMU -16.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)

WEB By 1-6 points

6.5%

WEB By 7-13 points

3.6%

JMU By 1-6 points

11.4%

JMU By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
14.77
WEBER STATE
30.83
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
17
WEBER STATE
38
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI James Madison Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim James Madison Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI James Madison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.1
C
Sim James Madison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 WEB @ JMU 10 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +83.6% more
James Madison: 208.8 vs Weber State: 113.8
Total Yards (L5) +68.7% more
James Madison: 396.6 vs Weber State: 235.1
First Downs (L5) +59.1% more
James Madison: 20.7 vs Weber State: 13.0
Time of Possession (L5) +11.0% more
James Madison: 0.6 vs Weber State: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 14.8 10
JMU Score 30.8 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.7 / 13.0 23.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 208.8 / 113.8 313.0 / 64.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.54 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 396.6 / 235.1 458.0 / 148.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.3 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
--
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
--
JMU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 31.6 ATS +/-: +17.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
--
JMU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +7.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
WEB
JMU
WEB
ML
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
ATS
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
TTL
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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