Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Charleston So @ Vanderbilt CHSO @ VAN

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

CHARLESTON SOCHSO

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 7:00 PM ET
FirstBank Stadium
View Odds Details →

VANDERBILT

VANDERBILTVAN

0-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Zach Gordon
KEY GAME

Zach Gordon

#46 | Place kicker
@
CJ Heard
KEY GAME

CJ Heard

#8 | Safety
Player
Zach Gordon None-None
CJ Heard None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLESTON SO
100%
📊
VANDERBILT
0%
CHARLESTON SO --
VANDERBILT --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
18.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.1
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.1 points (Vanderbilt)
Charleston SoCHSO (-3.5) 0 VanderbiltVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charleston So Cover

25.7%

Vanderbilt Cover

74.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VAN -9.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

CHSO By 1-6 points

11.4%

CHSO By 7-13 points

7.9%

VAN By 1-6 points

15.7%

VAN By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.7
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
13.84
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
3
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
48
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vanderbilt Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Vanderbilt Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vanderbilt (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.1
C
Sim Vanderbilt (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 18.5
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 CHSO @ VAN 3 - 45
Oct 11, 2014 CHSO @ VAN 20 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +111.8% more
Vanderbilt: 125.0 vs Charleston Southern: 59.0
Total Yards (L5) +36.3% more
Vanderbilt: 280.6 vs Charleston Southern: 205.8
First Downs (L5) +32.0% more
Vanderbilt: 16.9 vs Charleston Southern: 12.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
Vanderbilt: 0.4 vs Charleston Southern: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 4.7 3
VAN Score 13.8 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.9 / 12.8 25.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 125.0 / 59.0 201.0 / 47.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.67 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 280.6 / 205.8 481.0 / 135.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.8 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
--
VAN Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
--
VAN Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
--
VAN
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CHSO
VAN
CHSO
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
100% 5-0
50% 1-1
TTL
100% 5-0
0% 0-2
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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