Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Portland St @ BYU PRST @ BYU

PORTLAND STATE

PORTLAND STPRST

0-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 8:00 PM ET
LaVell Edwards Stadium
View Odds Details →

BYU

BYUBYU

0-0  |  Home

69
Key Game
Mathias Uribe
KEY GAME

Mathias Uribe

#97 | Place kicker
@
Hunter Clegg
KEY GAME

Hunter Clegg

#90 | Defensive End
Player
Mathias Uribe None-None
Hunter Clegg None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PORTLAND ST
100%
📊
BYU
0%
PORTLAND ST --
BYU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
39.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.5
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.5 points (BYU)
Portland StPRST (-3.5) 0 BYUBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Portland St Cover

24.8%

BYU Cover

75.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BYU -9.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)

PRST By 1-6 points

11.1%

PRST By 7-13 points

7.6%

BYU By 1-6 points

15.5%

BYU By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
15.04
PORTLAND STATE
24.56
BYU
Simulated Score
10
PORTLAND STATE
48
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI BYU Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim BYU Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI BYU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.5
C
Sim BYU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 39.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 PRST @ BYU 0 - 69
Aug 26, 2017 PRST @ BYU 6 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +143.0% more
BYU: 2.4 vs Portland State: 0.9
First Downs (L5) +41.2% more
BYU: 22.8 vs Portland State: 16.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.3% more
BYU: 166.5 vs Portland State: 144.4
Total Yards (L5) +14.7% more
BYU: 368.4 vs Portland State: 321.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRST Score 15.0 0
BYU Score 24.6 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.8 / 16.1 28.0 / 3.0
Rushing Yards 166.5 / 144.4 468.0 / -5.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.6 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 368.4 / 321.2 606.0 / 51.0
Turnovers 2.4 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
--
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
--
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
--
BYU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
PRST
BYU
PRST
ML
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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