Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Idaho @ Washington St IDHO @ WSU

IDAHO

IDAHOIDHO

0-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Martin Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

0-0  |  Home

13
Key Game
Cameron Pope
KEY GAME

Cameron Pope

#91 | Place kicker
@
Jack Stevens
KEY GAME

Jack Stevens

#38 | Place kicker
Player
Cameron Pope None-None
Jack Stevens None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
IDAHO
100%
📊
WASHINGTON ST
0%
IDAHO --
WASHINGTON ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.4
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.4 points (Washington State)
IdahoIDHO (-3.5) 0 Washington StWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Idaho Cover

27.3%

Washington St Cover

72.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WSU -8.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

IDHO By 1-6 points

11.9%

IDHO By 7-13 points

8.4%

WSU By 1-6 points

16.0%

WSU By 7-13 points

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
22.72
IDAHO
31.16
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
13
IDAHO
42
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Washington St Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Washington St Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Washington St (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.4
C
Sim Washington St (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 53.9
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 IDHO @ WSU 10 - 13
Sep 3, 2022 IDHO @ WSU 17 - 24
Sep 17, 2016 IDHO @ WSU 6 - 56
Sep 21, 2013 IDHO @ WSU 0 - 42
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +48.7% more
Washington State: 21.8 vs Idaho: 14.7
Total Yards (L5) +48.3% more
Washington State: 416.7 vs Idaho: 280.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +30.8% more
Washington State: 133.2 vs Idaho: 101.8
Turnovers (L5) +27.3% more
Washington State: 1.5 vs Idaho: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score 22.7 10
WSU Score 31.2 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.8 / 14.7 13.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards 133.2 / 101.8 3.0 / 188.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.25 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards 416.7 / 280.9 211.0 / 221.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.2 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
--
WSU Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
--
WSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
--
WSU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
IDHO
WSU
IDHO
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
100% 5-0
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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