Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Colorado St @ Washington CSU @ WASH

COLORADO STATE

COLORADO STCSU

0-0  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 11:00 PM ET
Husky Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WASHINGTONWASH

0-0  |  Home

38
Key Game
Keegan Shank
KEY GAME

Keegan Shank

#90 | Defensive Lineman
@
Luke Dunne
KEY GAME

Luke Dunne

#45 | Punter
Player
Keegan Shank None-None
Luke Dunne None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLORADO ST
0%
📊
WASHINGTON
100%
COLORADO ST --
WASHINGTON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
57.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Colorado State)
Colorado StCSU (-3.5) 0 WashingtonWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colorado St Cover

50.3%

Washington Cover

49.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CSU -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

CSU By 1-6 points

16.5%

CSU By 7-13 points

15.5%

WASH By 1-6 points

16.4%

WASH By 7-13 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
28.73
COLORADO STATE
28.62
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
17
COLORADO STATE
41
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colorado St Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Washington Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colorado St (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.1
C
Sim Washington (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 57.4
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 CSU @ WASH 21 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +41.8% more
Colorado State: 2.0 vs Washington: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +33.4% more
Colorado State: 139.1 vs Washington: 92.6
Total Yards (L5) +18.1% more
Colorado State: 430.4 vs Washington: 352.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSU Score 28.7 21
WASH Score 28.6 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.2 / 19.3 26.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 92.6 / 139.1 283.0 / 85.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.57 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 352.3 / 430.4 509.0 / 265.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 2.0 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: +2.1
WASH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSU Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: +2.1
WASH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -11.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CSU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +20.5
WASH
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
CSU
WASH
CSU
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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