Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Utah @ UCLA UTAH @ UCLA

UTAH

UTAHUTAH

0-0  |  Road

43
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 11:00 PM ET
Rose Bowl
View Odds Details →

UCLA

UCLAUCLA

0-0  |  Home

10
Key Game
Orion Phillips
KEY GAME

Orion Phillips

#92 | Punter
@
Mateen Bhaghani
KEY GAME

Mateen Bhaghani

#15 | Place kicker
Player
Orion Phillips None-None
Mateen Bhaghani None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UTAH
0%
📊
UCLA
100%
UTAH --
UCLA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Utah)
UtahUTAH (-3.5) 0 UCLAUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utah Cover

60.1%

UCLA Cover

39.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UTAH -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-6 points

17.0%

UTAH By 7-13 points

17.8%

UCLA By 1-6 points

15.0%

UCLA By 7-13 points

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
23.02
UTAH
19.45
UCLA
Simulated Score
24
UTAH
31
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utah Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim UCLA Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Utah (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.6
C
Sim UCLA (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.5
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 UTAH @ UCLA 43 - 10
Sep 23, 2023 UCLA @ UTAH 7 - 14
Oct 8, 2022 UTAH @ UCLA 32 - 42
Oct 30, 2021 UCLA @ UTAH 24 - 44
Nov 16, 2019 UCLA @ UTAH 3 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +45.9% more
Utah: 1.5 vs UCLA: 0.8
First Downs (L5) +54.0% more
UCLA: 19.2 vs Utah: 12.5
Total Yards (L5) +47.7% more
UCLA: 362.7 vs Utah: 245.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
UCLA: 0.5 vs Utah: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 23.0 43
UCLA Score 19.5 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.2 / 12.5 14.0 / 30.0
Rushing Yards 97.1 / 91.4 84.0 / 286.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.18 / 0.88
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 362.7 / 245.5 220.0 / 492.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.5 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
UCLA
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 26.0 ATS +/-: +18.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
UCLA
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 26.0 ATS +/-: +18.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
UCLA
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
UTAH
UCLA
UTAH
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
33% 1-2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
si 0 minutes ago
Five Burning College Football Questions Set to Be Answered This …
foxnews 5 hours, 48 minutes ago
Rodriguez: Roster Turnover Slowing WVU's Progress
theintermountain 18 hours, 10 minutes ago
From Muay Thai to the Gridiron: Mason Rivera's Unlikely Path to …
ocregister 1 day, 5 hours ago
UCLA Gears Up for Dual Threat: Oregon's Raiola and Moore Demand …
dailybreeze 1 day, 17 hours ago