Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kennesaw St @ Wake Forest KENN @ WAKE

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

0-0  |  Road

9
FINAL
Fri, Aug 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

WAKE FORESTWAKE

0-0  |  Home

10
Key Game
Daniel Kinney
KEY GAME

Daniel Kinney

#89 | Place kicker
@
Connor Calvert
KEY GAME

Connor Calvert

#90 | Place kicker
Player
Daniel Kinney None-None
Connor Calvert None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENNESAW ST
100%
📊
WAKE FOREST
0%
KENNESAW ST --
WAKE FOREST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
31.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Wake Forest)
Kennesaw StKENN (-3.5) 0 Wake ForestWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kennesaw St Cover

35.9%

Wake Forest Cover

64.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WAKE -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

KENN By 1-6 points

14.1%

KENN By 7-13 points

11.2%

WAKE By 1-6 points

16.9%

WAKE By 7-13 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
13.26
KENNESAW STATE
18.33
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
17
KENNESAW STATE
38
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wake Forest Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Wake Forest Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wake Forest (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
C
Sim Wake Forest (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 31.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2025 KENN @ WAKE 9 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +83.0% more
Wake Forest: 1.9 vs Kennesaw State: 1.1
First Downs (L5) +42.1% more
Wake Forest: 19.1 vs Kennesaw State: 13.4
Total Yards (L5) +26.8% more
Wake Forest: 313.4 vs Kennesaw State: 247.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Wake Forest: 0.4 vs Kennesaw State: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 13.3 9
WAKE Score 18.3 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.1 / 13.4 20.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 113.7 / 113.6 130.0 / 158.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.35 / 0.47
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards 313.4 / 247.1 348.0 / 307.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.1 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
WAKE Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
WAKE
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
WAKE
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
KENN
WAKE
KENN
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
TTL
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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