Key Game
KEY GAME
Tawfiq Thomas
#95 | Defensive Tackle@
KEY GAME
Damon Greaves
#35 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tawfiq Thomas | None-None |
| Damon Greaves | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
100%
COLORADO
0%
GEORGIA TECH
--
COLORADO
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
69.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around COLO -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)
GT By 1-6 points
9.4%
GT By 7-13 points
6.0%
COLO By 1-6 points
14.3%
COLO By 7-13 points
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
28.91
GEORGIA TECH
Colorado
40.74
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
24
GEORGIA TECH
Colorado
28
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colorado
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Colorado
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colorado (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.8
C
Sim
Colorado (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 69.7
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 3, 2026
COLO @ GT
14 - 13
Aug 29, 2025
GT @ COLO
27 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+81.0% more
Georgia Tech: 196.4
vs
Colorado: 37.4
First Downs (L5)
+25.0% more
Georgia Tech: 22.8
vs
Colorado: 17.1
Total Yards (L5)
+21.6% more
Georgia Tech: 429.0
vs
Colorado: 336.5
Time of Possession (L5)
+10.0% more
Georgia Tech: 0.5
vs
Colorado: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
28.9
27
COLO Score
40.7
20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.1 / 22.8
19.0 / 27.0
Rushing Yards
37.4 / 196.4
146.0 / 320.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.38 / 0.55
Time of Possession
0.4 / 0.5
0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards
336.5 / 429.0
305.0 / 463.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 1.3
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -7.9
COLO
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.8
ATS +/-: -8.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -7.9
COLO
Advantage
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -6.8
ATS +/-: -8.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
COLO
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -8.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
GT
COLO
GT
ML
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
ATS
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-5
75%
3-1