Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wyoming @ Akron WYO @ AKR

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

0-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Thu, Aug 28 • 7:00 PM ET
InfoCision Stadium
View Odds Details →

AKRON

AKRONAKR

0-0  |  Home

0
Key Game
Bart Edmiston
KEY GAME

Bart Edmiston

#18 | Punter
@
Joseph Castle
KEY GAME

Joseph Castle

#95 | Punter
Player
Bart Edmiston None-None
Joseph Castle None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WYOMING
100%
📊
AKRON
0%
WYOMING --
AKRON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Akron)
WyomingWYO (-3.5) 0 AkronAKR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wyoming Cover

48.6%

Akron Cover

51.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around AKR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)

WYO By 1-6 points

16.3%

WYO By 7-13 points

15.0%

AKR By 1-6 points

16.6%

AKR By 7-13 points

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
22.81
WYOMING
23.29
AKRON
Simulated Score
10
WYOMING
31
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Akron Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Akron Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Akron (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.5
C
Sim Akron (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 46.1
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2025 WYO @ AKR 10 - 0
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +10.5% more
Akron: 20.8 vs Wyoming: 18.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
Akron: 0.4 vs Wyoming: 0.3
Turnovers (L5) +24.1% more
Wyoming: 1.5 vs Akron: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 22.8 10
AKR Score 23.3 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 18.8 13.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 135.8 / 147.1 89.0 / 166.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.2 / 0.45
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 378.6 / 354.1 228.0 / 426.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.5 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
AKR
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -14.6 ATS +/-: -6.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
AKR Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -14.6 ATS +/-: -6.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
AKR
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
WYO
AKR
WYO
ML
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
ATS
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
100% 5-0
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-5
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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