Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Syracuse @ Tennessee SYR @ TENN

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

0-0  |  Road

26
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 12:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TENNESSEETENN

0-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Antoine Deslauriers
KEY GAME

Antoine Deslauriers

#5 | Linebacker
@
Jackson Ross
KEY GAME

Jackson Ross

#98 | Punter
Player
Antoine Deslauriers None-None
Jackson Ross None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SYRACUSE
100%
📊
TENNESSEE
0%
SYRACUSE --
TENNESSEE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.2
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.2 points (Tennessee)
SyracuseSYR (-3.5) 0 TennesseeTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Syracuse Cover

5.6%

Tennessee Cover

94.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TENN -22.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

SYR By 1-6 points

3.2%

SYR By 7-13 points

1.5%

TENN By 1-6 points

7.0%

TENN By 7-13 points

13.6%

AI Model Projected Score
37.9
SYRACUSE
60.14
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
20
SYRACUSE
34
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tennessee Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Tennessee Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tennessee (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.2
C
Sim Tennessee (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 98.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 SYR @ TENN 26 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +82.6% more
Tennessee: 205.1 vs Syracuse: 112.3
Turnovers (L5) +23.0% more
Tennessee: 0.8 vs Syracuse: 0.6
Total Yards (L5) +24.5% more
Syracuse: 516.8 vs Tennessee: 390.2
First Downs (L5) +14.1% more
Syracuse: 26.3 vs Tennessee: 22.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 37.9 26
TENN Score 60.1 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.6 / 26.3 22.0 / 24.0
Rushing Yards 205.1 / 112.3 246.0 / 103.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 390.2 / 516.8 493.0 / 377.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 0.6 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
TENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.6 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
TENN Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.6 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
TENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
SYR
TENN
SYR
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
TTL
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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