Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Old Dominion @ Indiana ODU @ IU

OLD DOMINION

OLD DOMINIONODU

0-0  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 2:30 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

INDIANAIU

0-0  |  Home

27
Key Game
Ian Brandt
KEY GAME

Ian Brandt

#96 | Punter
@
Quinn Warren
KEY GAME

Quinn Warren

#93 | Place kicker
Player
Ian Brandt None-None
Quinn Warren None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OLD DOMINION
100%
📊
INDIANA
0%
OLD DOMINION --
INDIANA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.3
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.3 points (Indiana)
Old DominionODU (-3.5) 0 IndianaIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Old Dominion Cover

8.4%

Indiana Cover

91.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around IU -19.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

ODU By 1-6 points

4.6%

ODU By 7-13 points

2.3%

IU By 1-6 points

9.0%

IU By 7-13 points

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
33.9
OLD DOMINION
53.24
INDIANA
Simulated Score
17
OLD DOMINION
31
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Indiana Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Indiana Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Indiana (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.3
C
Sim Indiana (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 87.1
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 ODU @ IU 14 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +59.4% more
Old Dominion: 300.1 vs Indiana: 122.0
Turnovers (L5) +38.5% more
Old Dominion: 1.2 vs Indiana: 0.7
Total Yards (L5) +29.7% more
Old Dominion: 500.3 vs Indiana: 352.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 33.9 14
IU Score 53.2 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.6 / 21.9 30.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 122.0 / 300.1 309.0 / 218.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.59 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.69 / 0.31
Total Yards 352.0 / 500.3 502.0 / 314.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 1.2 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
IU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -16.0
IU Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 33.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.3
IU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
ODU
IU
ODU
ML
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
ATS
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
TTL
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
si 0 minutes ago
Red River Rivalry 2026: Essential Fan Guide for Sooners vs. Long…
news9 1 day, 6 hours ago
Curt Cignetti Praises 'Extremely Impressive' Tape, Plans to 'Cag…
journalstar 2 days, 5 hours ago
Rutgers Crushed by Indiana 47-15 as Schiano Searches for Answers
si 3 days, 5 hours ago
Ryan Field Reopens to Rave Reviews from National College Footbal…
dailynorthwestern 3 days, 18 hours ago