Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / LSU @ Clemson LSU @ CLEM

LSU

LSULSU

0-0  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 7:30 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

CLEMSONCLEM

0-0  |  Home

10
Key Game
Stephiylan Green
KEY GAME

Stephiylan Green

#90 | Defensive Tackle
@
Nolan Hauser
KEY GAME

Nolan Hauser

#81 | Place kicker
Player
Stephiylan Green None-None
Nolan Hauser None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LSU
0%
📊
CLEMSON
100%
LSU --
CLEMSON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (LSU)
LSULSU (-3.5) 0 ClemsonCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

LSU Cover

53.7%

Clemson Cover

46.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LSU -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

LSU By 1-6 points

16.8%

LSU By 7-13 points

16.3%

CLEM By 1-6 points

16.0%

CLEM By 7-13 points

14.4%

AI Model Projected Score
28.14
LSU
26.85
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
28
LSU
31
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI LSU Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Clemson Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI LSU (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.3
C
Sim Clemson (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 59.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 CLEM @ LSU 10 - 51
Aug 30, 2025 LSU @ CLEM 17 - 10
Jan 13, 2020 CLEM @ LSU 25 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +37.9% more
LSU: 1.4 vs Clemson: 0.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
LSU: 0.5 vs Clemson: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LSU Score 28.1 17
CLEM Score 26.9 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.8 / 21.7 13.0 / 25.0
Rushing Yards 119.8 / 116.0 31.0 / 108.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.23 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 409.9 / 419.9 261.0 / 356.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.4 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
CLEM
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
CLEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
CLEM
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
LSU
CLEM
LSU
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
TTL
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
0% 0-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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