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ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

AR-PINE BLUFFUAPB

0-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 7:30 PM ET
Jones AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

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67
Key Game
Ty Ackerman
KEY GAME

Ty Ackerman

#26 | Place kicker
@
Ian Hershey
KEY GAME

Ian Hershey

#37 | Punter
Player
Ty Ackerman None-None
Ian Hershey None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
AR-PINE BLUFF
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
AR-PINE BLUFF --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Texas Tech)
AR-Pine BluffUAPB (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

AR-Pine Bluff Cover

46.8%

Texas Tech Cover

53.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

UAPB By 1-6 points

16.1%

UAPB By 7-13 points

14.5%

TTU By 1-6 points

16.7%

TTU By 7-13 points

16.2%

AI Model Projected Score
20.23
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
21.37
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
10
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
52
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
C
Sim Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 UAPB @ TTU 7 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +171.5% more
Texas Tech: 180.8 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 66.6
Total Yards (L5) +144.6% more
Texas Tech: 490.9 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 200.7
First Downs (L5) +102.6% more
Texas Tech: 25.9 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 12.8
Turnovers (L5) +84.0% more
Texas Tech: 1.7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score 20.2 7
TTU Score 21.4 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.9 / 12.8 33.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 180.8 / 66.6 294.0 / 53.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.2 0.62 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 490.9 / 200.7 608.0 / 175.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
--
TTU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
--
TTU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
--
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
UAPB
TTU
UAPB
ML
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
ATS
80% 4-1
100% 1-0
40% 2-3
100% 1-0
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-1
40% 2-3
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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