Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Browns LAR @ CLE

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

2-0  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Aug 23 • 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

2-0  |  Home

19
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Corey Bojorquez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
50%
📊
BROWNS
50%
RAMS --
BROWNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
26.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 BrownsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

74.0%

Browns Cover

26.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

15.7%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.7%

CLE By 1-6 points

11.5%

CLE By 7-13 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
17.48
LOS ANGELES
8.47
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
24
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Browns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 26.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2025 LAR @ CLE 17 - 19
Dec 3, 2023 CLE @ LAR 19 - 36
Sep 22, 2019 LAR @ CLE 20 - 13
Oct 25, 2015 CLE @ LAR 6 - 24
Nov 13, 2011 LAR @ CLE 13 - 12
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 5.6 vs Cleveland: 4.4
Net Passing Yards (L5) +16.2% more
Los Angeles: 220.8 vs Cleveland: 185.0
Turnovers (L5) +257.0% more
Cleveland: 3.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +20.8% more
Cleveland: 117.4 vs Los Angeles: 97.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 17.5 17
CLE Score 8.5 19
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAR
CLE
LAR
ML
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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