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ATLANTA

FALCONSATL

0-2  |  Road

13
FINAL
Fri, Aug 22 • 8:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

0-2  |  Home

31
Key Game
DeAngelo Malone
KEY GAME

DeAngelo Malone

#50 | Linebacker
@
Bryan Anger
KEY GAME

Bryan Anger

#5 | Punter
Player
DeAngelo Malone None-None
Bryan Anger None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
50%
📊
COWBOYS
50%
FALCONS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.9
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.9 points (Dallas)
FalconsATL (-3.5) 0 CowboysDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Falcons Cover

16.0%

Cowboys Cover

84.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DAL -13.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

ATL By 1-6 points

7.9%

ATL By 7-13 points

4.7%

DAL By 1-6 points

12.9%

DAL By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
15.41
ATLANTA
29.34
DALLAS
Simulated Score
20
ATLANTA
27
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.9
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 22, 2025 ATL @ DAL 13 - 31
Nov 3, 2024 DAL @ ATL 21 - 27
Nov 14, 2021 ATL @ DAL 3 - 43
Sep 20, 2020 ATL @ DAL 39 - 40
Nov 18, 2018 DAL @ ATL 22 - 19
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.6% more
Dallas: 1.9 vs Atlanta: 1.4
First Downs (L5) +15.7% more
Atlanta: 21.2 vs Dallas: 17.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +13.3% more
Atlanta: 133.0 vs Dallas: 115.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 15.4 13
DAL Score 29.3 31
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
DAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
ATL
DAL
ATL
ML
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
ATS
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
0% 0-4
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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