Home / NFL Projections NFL / Steelers @ Panthers PIT @ CAR

PITTSBURGH

STEELERSPIT

1-1  |  Road

19
FINAL
Thu, Aug 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

0-2  |  Home

10
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Jack Henderson

#48 | Safety
@
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
Player
Jack Henderson None-None
Sam Martin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
STEELERS
50%
📊
PANTHERS
50%
STEELERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Carolina)
SteelersPIT (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Steelers Cover

30.8%

Panthers Cover

69.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CAR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

PIT By 1-6 points

12.8%

PIT By 7-13 points

9.6%

CAR By 1-6 points

16.4%

CAR By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
14.74
PITTSBURGH
21.78
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
20
PITTSBURGH
23
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 43.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 21, 2025 PIT @ CAR 19 - 10
Dec 18, 2022 PIT @ CAR 24 - 16
Nov 8, 2018 CAR @ PIT 21 - 52
Sep 21, 2014 PIT @ CAR 37 - 19
Dec 23, 2010 CAR @ PIT 3 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +11.9% more
Carolina: 5.0 vs Pittsburgh: 4.5
Net Passing Yards (L5) +8.6% more
Carolina: 175.8 vs Pittsburgh: 161.9
Turnovers (L5) +35.8% more
Pittsburgh: 1.4 vs Carolina: 0.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.1% more
Pittsburgh: 116.8 vs Carolina: 107.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 14.7 19
CAR Score 21.8 10
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PIT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.4
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
PIT
CAR
PIT
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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