Home / NFL Projections NFL / Patriots @ Giants NE @ NYG

NEW ENGLAND

PATRIOTSNE

2-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Thu, Aug 21 • 8:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-0  |  Home

42
Key Game
Cory Durden
KEY GAME

Cory Durden

#94 | Defensive Tackle
@
Chauncey Golston
KEY GAME

Chauncey Golston

#57 | Defensive End
Player
Cory Durden None-None
Chauncey Golston None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
50%
📊
GIANTS
50%
PATRIOTS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (New York)
PatriotsNE (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Patriots Cover

47.0%

Giants Cover

53.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

NE By 1-6 points

16.1%

NE By 7-13 points

14.5%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.7%

NYG By 7-13 points

16.2%

AI Model Projected Score
16.92
NEW ENGLAND
17.99
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
23
NEW ENGLAND
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim Giants (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 34.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 NYG @ NE 15 - 33
Aug 21, 2025 NE @ NYG 10 - 42
Nov 26, 2023 NE @ NYG 7 - 10
Oct 10, 2019 NYG @ NE 14 - 35
Nov 15, 2015 NE @ NYG 27 - 26
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +28.8% more
New York: 224.5 vs New England: 174.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.6% more
New England: 118.1 vs New York: 79.6
Turnovers (L5) +22.0% more
New England: 1.6 vs New York: 1.2
First Downs (L5) +11.0% more
New England: 18.3 vs New York: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 16.9 10
NYG Score 18.0 42
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.9
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.9
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -10.0
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
NE
NYG
NE
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
ATS
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Garrett Wilson's Accountability Shines Amid Jets' 1-3 Start, But…
si 1 hour, 14 minutes ago
DeMarvion Overshown Pays Tribute to Jake Ehlinger with Custom Je…
si 1 hour, 21 minutes ago
Cowboys Release TCU Alum Emari Demercado, Activate All-Pro Tyler…
star_telegram 1 hour, 22 minutes ago
Archie Manning's Enduring Influence: How the Patriarch Shaped Ar…
dallasnews 1 hour, 25 minutes ago
Steelers' Michael Pittman Jr. Sidelined Multiple Weeks with Foot…
newsweek 7 hours, 17 minutes ago