ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
58-70 | Road
8
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
58-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Austin Martin
#16 | Right Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 4.19 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Austin Martin | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.19
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
49%
TWINS
51%
ATHLETICS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.8%
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.8%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
5.48
ATHLETICS
Minnesota
4.28
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
49% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
MIN @ ATH
4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026
MIN @ ATH
2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026
MIN @ ATH
9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026
ATH @ MIN
8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
ATH @ MIN
0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.719
OPS
▲
.720
194
▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+45.9% more
Athletics: 1.9
vs
Minnesota: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+22.0% more
Athletics: 0.4
vs
Minnesota: 0.2
Total Bases (L5)
+18.5% more
Athletics: 16.8
vs
Minnesota: 13.7
Home Runs (Season)
+3.6% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Minnesota: 187.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
5.5
8
MIN Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.7
5.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 9.3
6.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 16.8
7.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.1 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ATH
MIN
ATH
ML
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
80-81
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
95-67
52%
84-78
59%
95-66
50%
81-80
TTL
51%
78-75-9
54%
84-73-5
53%
80-72-9
42%
66-90-5
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