MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
79-48 | Road
4
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
73-54 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Shota Imanaga
#18 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.05 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Shota Imanaga | None-None | 3.03 | -- | 7.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.05 Ldr
ERA
3.03
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
55%
CUBS
45%
BREWERS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
MIL By 1-2 runs
17.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
12.4%
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.0%
CHC By 3-4 runs
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.46
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
5.85
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
B
Sim
Cubs (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.743
▲
OPS
.374
154
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+87.1% more
Chicago: 5.4
vs
Milwaukee: 2.9
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+90.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+36.9%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.5
4
CHC Score
5.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.4 / 7.9
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 9.0
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
9.3 / 12.7
5.0 / 11.0
Walks
5.4 / 2.9
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
MIL
CHC
MIL
ML
58%
93-68
62%
101-61
51%
82-79
52%
84-78
ATS
61%
97-63-1
58%
94-68
47%
75-85-1
48%
78-84
TTL
52%
81-74-6
40%
62-92-8
46%
72-83-6
50%
77-77-8
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