LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
72-55 | Road
9
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
37-90 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 2.75 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 4.02 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.75 Ldr
ERA
4.02
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
76%
ROCKIES
24%
DODGERS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.3%
COL By 1-2 runs
13.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.49
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
3.54
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
LAD @ COL
6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026
LAD @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026
LAD @ COL
11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026
COL @ LAD
3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026
COL @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762
▲
OPS
.739
204
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.6% more
Los Angeles: 1.3
vs
Colorado: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+6.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Colorado: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+2.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.5
9
COL Score
3.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.8 / 9.0
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.3
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 7.5
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.9 / 14.9
15.0 / 22.0
Walks
2.6 / 1.9
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60%
97-64
56%
92-73
55%
88-73
48%
79-87
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
98-67
52%
83-78
43%
72-94
TTL
60%
93-62-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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