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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

45-81  |  Road

0
FINAL
Wed, Aug 20 • 7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

57-69  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
@
Raisel Iglesias
STARTING PITCHER

Raisel Iglesias

#26 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
Raisel Iglesias None-None 3.86 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.86
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
40%
📊
BRAVES
60%
WHITE SOX --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 53%
Under 0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Atlanta)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

43.0%

Braves Cover

57.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

CHW By 1-2 runs

17.0%

CHW By 3-4 runs

11.5%

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

ATL By 3-4 runs

15.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.62
CHICAGO
5.33
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
6
CHICAGO
4
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Win
60% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 ATL @ CHW 2 - 0
Jun 10, 2026 ATL @ CHW 1 - 2
Jun 9, 2026 ATL @ CHW 5 - 6
Aug 20, 2025 CHW @ ATL 0 - 1
Aug 19, 2025 CHW @ ATL 10 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Atlanta ATL
1
Games Played
1
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.826 ▲
OPS
.757
1
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +13.5% more
Atlanta: 1.8 vs Chicago: 1.6
Strikeouts (L5) +9.1% more
Atlanta: 7.6 vs Chicago: 6.9
Total Bases (L5) +8.7% more
Atlanta: 19.6 vs Chicago: 18.0
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.1%
Atlanta: 43.3% vs Chicago: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 4.6 0
ATL Score 5.3 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 12.1 / 11.3 4.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.6 / 6.9 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 19.6 / 18.0 5.0 / 4.0
Walks 3.7 / 4.0 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
CHW
ATL
CHW
ML
46% 77-90
49% 81-86
54% 90-78
56% 94-73
ATS
57% 96-71
59% 99-68
52% 87-81
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-73-11
58% 96-69-2
49% 76-80-11
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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