Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Rockies LAD @ COL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

72-54  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Aug 20 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

36-90  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.03 -- 1.0 1
Jimmy Herget None-None 2.65 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.03 ERA Ldr 2.65
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
77%
📊
ROCKIES
23%
DODGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

76.1%

Rockies Cover

23.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.5%

COL By 1-2 runs

11.1%

COL By 3-4 runs

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.88
LOS ANGELES
3.04
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
77% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.9
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762 ▲
OPS
.739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +21.9% more
Los Angeles: 10.5 vs Colorado: 8.2
Total Bases (L5) +15.0% more
Los Angeles: 16.8 vs Colorado: 14.3
Strikeouts (L5) +12.2% more
Los Angeles: 8.2 vs Colorado: 7.2
Home Runs (Season) +11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.9 3
COL Score 3.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.0 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.2 / 10.5 16.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.5 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 8.2 7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.3 / 16.8 19.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.5 / 2.3 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60% 97-64
56% 92-73
55% 88-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 98-67
52% 83-78
43% 72-94
TTL
60% 93-62-6
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
si 0 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 3 hours, 16 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 9 hours, 6 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 15 hours, 12 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 21 hours, 16 minutes ago