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CINCINNATI

REDSCIN

67-60  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Aug 20 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

60-66  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Ke'Bryan Hayes
STARTING PITCHER

Ke'Bryan Hayes

#3 | Third Base
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ke'Bryan Hayes None-None -- -- -- --
Reid Detmers None-None 4.26 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.26
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
55%
📊
ANGELS
45%
REDS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cincinnati)
RedsCIN (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Reds Cover

68.8%

Angels Cover

31.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

CIN By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CIN By 3-4 runs

18.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.64
CINCINNATI
3.68
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
CINCINNATI
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Reds Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Reds (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.3
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 LAA @ CIN 9 - 6
Apr 11, 2026 LAA @ CIN 3 - 7
Apr 10, 2026 LAA @ CIN 10 - 2
Aug 20, 2025 CIN @ LAA 1 - 2
Aug 19, 2025 CIN @ LAA 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati CIN
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.11 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.394 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.699 ▲
OPS
.679
213 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +45.0% more
Cincinnati: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5) +31.0% more
Cincinnati: 10.7 vs Los Angeles: 7.4
Home Runs (Season) +27.7% more
Cincinnati: 213.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Hits (L5) +15.3% more
Cincinnati: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 5.6 1
LAA Score 3.7 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.5 / 10.0 5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.4 / 10.7 7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 15.9 9.0 / 10.0
Walks 4.4 / 2.6 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
75-87-0 (46.3%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8% Total +/-: +0.5
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CIN
LAA
CIN
ML
59% 96-66
55% 88-71
55% 89-73
49% 79-81
ATS
60% 97-65
54% 86-73
51% 82-80
50% 80-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-73-5
52% 82-75-5
54% 83-72-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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