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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

45-80  |  Road

10
FINAL
Tue, Aug 19 • 7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

56-69  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Chase Meidroth
STARTING PITCHER

Chase Meidroth

#10 | Second Base
@
Raisel Iglesias
STARTING PITCHER

Raisel Iglesias

#26 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Chase Meidroth None-None -- -- -- --
Raisel Iglesias None-None 3.93 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.93
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
41%
📊
BRAVES
59%
WHITE SOX --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 BravesATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

55.4%

Braves Cover

44.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.2%

CHW By 3-4 runs

15.1%

ATL By 1-2 runs

17.4%

ATL By 3-4 runs

12.0%

AI Model Projected Score
5.07
CHICAGO
4.53
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Loss
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 ATL @ CHW 2 - 0
Jun 10, 2026 ATL @ CHW 1 - 2
Jun 9, 2026 ATL @ CHW 5 - 6
Aug 20, 2025 CHW @ ATL 0 - 1
Aug 19, 2025 CHW @ ATL 10 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Atlanta ATL
1
Games Played
1
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .433
.826 ▲
OPS
.757
1
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +16.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Atlanta: 5.0
Home Runs (L5) +10.4% more
Chicago: 1.8 vs Atlanta: 1.6
Batting Avg (Season) +9.1%
Chicago: 32.4% vs Atlanta: 23.3%
On-Base Pct (Season) +9.1%
Chicago: 41.5% vs Atlanta: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 5.1 10
ATL Score 4.5 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 11.7 / 11.5 13.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 8.4 6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 18.4 / 18.5 22.0 / 17.0
Walks 4.1 / 3.0 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
CHW
ATL
CHW
ML
46% 77-90
49% 81-86
54% 90-78
56% 94-73
ATS
57% 96-71
59% 99-68
52% 87-81
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-73-11
58% 96-69-2
49% 76-80-11
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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