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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

56-70  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

58-66  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Joe Ryan
STARTING PITCHER

Joe Ryan

#41 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 3.75 -- 1.0 --
Joe Ryan None-None 2.96 -- 4.0 6
None-None W-L None-None
3.75 ERA Ldr 2.96
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
48%
📊
TWINS
52%
ATHLETICS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

50.5%

Twins Cover

49.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

13.7%

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.3%

MIN By 3-4 runs

13.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.08
ATHLETICS
5.03
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
48% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 MIN @ ATH 4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026 MIN @ ATH 2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026 MIN @ ATH 9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026 ATH @ MIN 8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026 ATH @ MIN 0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.719
OPS
▲ .720
194 ▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +42.4% more
Athletics: 2.2 vs Minnesota: 1.3
Hits (L5) +27.0% more
Athletics: 9.5 vs Minnesota: 6.9
Total Bases (L5) +26.7% more
Athletics: 17.9 vs Minnesota: 13.1
Strikeouts (L5) +19.6% more
Athletics: 11.4 vs Minnesota: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.1 6
MIN Score 5.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.9 / 9.5 6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 2.2 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 11.4 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.1 / 17.9 13.0 / 19.0
Walks 4.6 / 4.8 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ATH
MIN
ATH
ML
52% 84-78
59% 95-67
50% 80-81
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 95-67
52% 84-78
59% 95-66
50% 81-80
TTL
51% 78-75-9
54% 84-73-5
53% 80-72-9
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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