MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
79-46 | Road
1
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
71-54 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chad Patrick
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Caleb Thielbar
#24 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick | None-None | 3.61 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Caleb Thielbar | None-None | 2.18 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.61
ERA
Ldr 2.18
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
57%
CUBS
43%
BREWERS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.8%
MIL By 3-4 runs
14.2%
CHC By 1-2 runs
18.0%
CHC By 3-4 runs
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.85
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
5.62
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim
Cubs (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.743
▲
OPS
.374
154
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+90.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5)
+86.7% more
Milwaukee: 1.7
vs
Chicago: 0.2
Total Bases (L5)
+58.7% more
Milwaukee: 16.9
vs
Chicago: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.9
1
CHC Score
5.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.2 / 9.3
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 1.7
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 8.9
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
7.0 / 16.9
16.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.2
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
MIL
CHC
MIL
ML
58%
93-68
62%
101-61
51%
82-79
52%
84-78
ATS
61%
97-63-1
58%
94-68
47%
75-85-1
48%
78-84
TTL
52%
81-74-6
40%
62-92-8
46%
72-83-6
50%
77-77-8
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