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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

71-54  |  Road

11
FINAL
Tue, Aug 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

36-89  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
@
Kyle Karros
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Karros

#12 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Dreyer None-None 2.79 -- 1.0 --
Kyle Karros None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.79 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
76%
📊
ROCKIES
24%
DODGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 85%
Under 0 15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

70.0%

Rockies Cover

30.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

13.3%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5.34
LOS ANGELES
3.24
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762 ▲
OPS
.739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +17.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.2 vs Colorado: 1.0
Home Runs (Season) +11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season) +6.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Colorado: 4.6
OPS (Season) +2.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.3 11
COL Score 3.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.3 / 6.8 8.0 / 18.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.2 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.3 / 8.3 3.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 13.5 / 11.7 16.0 / 27.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.4 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60% 97-64
56% 92-73
55% 88-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 98-67
52% 83-78
43% 72-94
TTL
60% 93-62-6
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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