Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Rockies LAD @ COL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

71-53  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

35-89  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Justin Wrobleski None-None 4.24 -- 0.1 --
Juan Mejia None-None 4.11 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.24 ERA Ldr 4.11
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
77%
📊
ROCKIES
23%
DODGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 85%
Under 0 15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

73.6%

Rockies Cover

26.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.2%

COL By 1-2 runs

12.0%

COL By 3-4 runs

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.47
LOS ANGELES
2.95
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
77% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.4
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762 ▲
OPS
.739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +45.1% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Colorado: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5) +16.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.4 vs Colorado: 7.9
Home Runs (Season) +11.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season) +6.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Colorado: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.5 3
COL Score 3.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.1 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.5 / 6.2 6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.9 / 9.4 12.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 15.2 / 12.1 10.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.0 / 2.6 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
96%MONEY4%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60% 97-64
56% 92-73
55% 88-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 98-67
52% 83-78
43% 72-94
TTL
60% 93-62-6
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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