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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

73-52  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Aug 17 • 2:10 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

57-66  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
James Outman
STARTING PITCHER

James Outman

#43 | Center Field
@
Brooks Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Brooks Lee

#22 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
James Outman None-None -- -- -- --
Brooks Lee None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
62%
📊
TWINS
38%
TIGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

61.6%

Twins Cover

38.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.7%

MIN By 1-2 runs

15.8%

MIN By 3-4 runs

10.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.93
DETROIT
3.75
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
C
Sim Twins (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +42.0% more
Detroit: 0.8 vs Minnesota: 0.4
Hits (L5) +36.2% more
Detroit: 9.3 vs Minnesota: 5.9
Total Bases (L5) +35.8% more
Detroit: 14.2 vs Minnesota: 9.1
Strikeouts (L5) +22.9% more
Detroit: 10.0 vs Minnesota: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 4.9 1
MIN Score 3.8 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.9 / 9.3 9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 0.8 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 10.0 12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 9.1 / 14.2 21.0 / 4.0
Walks 5.3 / 3.8 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52% 84-78
54% 86-73
50% 80-81
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 95-67
64% 101-58
59% 95-66
57% 91-69
TTL
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-9
53% 80-72-9
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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