SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
68-55 | Road
1
NEW YORK
METSNYM
64-58 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Nolan McLean
#26 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | None-None | 3.02 | -- | 6.0 | 8 |
| Nolan McLean | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 5.1 | 8 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.02
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.1
8
K (Strikeouts)
8
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
53%
METS
47%
MARINERS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.0%
NYM By 1-2 runs
14.3%
NYM By 3-4 runs
8.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.42
SEATTLE
New York
3.68
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.7
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
NYM @ SEA
7 - 1
Jun 2, 2026
NYM @ SEA
3 - 8
Jun 1, 2026
NYM @ SEA
2 - 3
Aug 17, 2025
SEA @ NYM
3 - 7
Aug 16, 2025
SEA @ NYM
1 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.395
.693
OPS
▲
.705
182
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+38.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
New York: 0.2
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.4%
Seattle: 31.4%
vs
New York: 31.0%
Home Runs (L5)
+106.2% more
New York: 2.7
vs
Seattle: 1.3
Walks (L5)
+43.3% more
New York: 4.0
vs
Seattle: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.4
1
NYM Score
3.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.2 / 10.1
10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
2.7 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 9.2
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
20.1 / 17.6
12.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.0 / 2.8
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
SEA
NYM
SEA
ML
50%
79-80
50%
81-81
48%
76-83
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-66
60%
98-64
49%
78-81
59%
95-67
TTL
55%
80-66-13
56%
85-67-10
51%
74-72-13
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…