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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

72-52  |  Road

8
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 7:15 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

57-65  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Kyle Finnegan
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Finnegan

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kyle Finnegan None-None 3.66 -- 1.0 2
Kody Funderburk None-None 5.32 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.66 Ldr ERA 5.32
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
61%
📊
TWINS
39%
TIGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

60.9%

Twins Cover

39.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.6%

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.0%

MIN By 3-4 runs

10.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.62
DETROIT
3.51
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
B
Sim Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.6% more
Detroit: 7.9 vs Minnesota: 4.9
Total Bases (L5) +30.8% more
Detroit: 11.8 vs Minnesota: 8.2
Strikeouts (L5) +18.0% more
Detroit: 8.0 vs Minnesota: 6.6
Walks (L5) +15.0% more
Detroit: 4.1 vs Minnesota: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 4.6 8
MIN Score 3.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 4.9 / 7.9 8.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.6 / 8.0 10.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 8.2 / 11.8 11.0 / 19.0
Walks 3.5 / 4.1 9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
75%MONEY25%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52% 84-78
54% 86-73
50% 80-81
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 95-67
64% 101-58
59% 95-66
57% 91-69
TTL
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-9
53% 80-72-9
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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