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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

59-63  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

55-69  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Mike Trout
STARTING PITCHER

Mike Trout

#27 | Center Field
@
Luis Morales
STARTING PITCHER

Luis Morales

#19 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mike Trout None-None -- -- -- --
Luis Morales None-None 1.86 -- 5.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 1.86
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 5.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 5
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
54%
📊
ATHLETICS
46%
ANGELS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

52.2%

Athletics Cover

47.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.8%

LAA By 3-4 runs

14.2%

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.0%

ATH By 3-4 runs

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.16
LOS ANGELES
4.94
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +31.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.6 vs Athletics: 3.2
Strikeouts (L5) +30.5% more
Athletics: 11.1 vs Los Angeles: 8.5
Hits (L5) +29.7% more
Athletics: 9.2 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Home Runs (Season) +26.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.2 2
ATH Score 4.9 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 7.1 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 1.3 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 11.1 / 8.5 11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 15.9 / 12.9 14.0 / 7.0
Walks 3.2 / 4.6 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59% 95-67
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-65
50% 81-80
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 83-74-5
42% 66-90-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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