MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
76-44 | Road
10
CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
64-58 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Moll
#50 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.14 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Sam Moll | None-None | 6.60 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.14 Ldr
ERA
6.60
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
61%
REDS
39%
BREWERS
--
REDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.6%
CIN By 1-2 runs
13.2%
CIN By 3-4 runs
7.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
7.41
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
5.29
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Reds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim
Reds (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Cincinnati
CIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.743
▲
OPS
.699
154
Home Runs
▲
213
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+55.5% more
Milwaukee: 2.0
vs
Cincinnati: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+45.6% more
Milwaukee: 2.9
vs
Cincinnati: 1.6
Total Bases (L5)
+31.0% more
Milwaukee: 20.6
vs
Cincinnati: 14.2
Errors (L5)
+22.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.5
vs
Cincinnati: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
7.4
10
CIN Score
5.3
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
3.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.5 / 11.7
9.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 2.0
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 7.5
7.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
14.2 / 20.6
10.0 / 30.0
Walks
1.6 / 2.9
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
MIL
CIN
MIL
ML
55%
88-71
62%
101-61
49%
79-81
52%
84-78
ATS
54%
86-73
58%
94-68
50%
80-80
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
81-73-5
40%
62-92-8
54%
83-72-5
50%
77-77-8
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