LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
59-62 | Road
3
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
54-69 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Oswald Peraza
#2 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oswald Peraza | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.51
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
55%
ATHLETICS
45%
ANGELS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
41%
Under 0
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAA By 3-4 runs
18.5%
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.5%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.91
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
3.87
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
LAA @ ATH
3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026
LAA @ ATH
7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026
ATH @ LAA
1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
ATH @ LAA
2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATH @ LAA
9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.719
154
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+44.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Athletics: 2.7
Home Runs (L5)
+36.1% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Athletics: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+23.4% more
Los Angeles: 14.9
vs
Athletics: 11.4
Hits (L5)
+16.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.1
vs
Athletics: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
5.9
3
ATH Score
3.9
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.7 / 8.1
14.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.5
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 9.7
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.4 / 14.9
25.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.7 / 4.9
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59%
95-67
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
97-65
50%
81-80
51%
82-80
TTL
54%
84-73-5
53%
83-74-5
42%
66-90-5
52%
82-75-5
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