Home / NFL Projections NFL / Browns @ Eagles CLE @ PHI

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

1-0  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

1-0  |  Home

13
Key Game
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Corey Bojorquez None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
50%
📊
EAGLES
50%
BROWNS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Philadelphia)
BrownsCLE (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Browns Cover

39.2%

Eagles Cover

60.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CLE By 1-6 points

14.8%

CLE By 7-13 points

12.3%

PHI By 1-6 points

17.0%

PHI By 7-13 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
19.48
CLEVELAND
23.3
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
20
CLEVELAND
24
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2025 CLE @ PHI 22 - 13
Oct 13, 2024 CLE @ PHI 16 - 20
Nov 22, 2020 PHI @ CLE 17 - 22
Sep 11, 2016 CLE @ PHI 10 - 29
Sep 9, 2012 PHI @ CLE 17 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +76.1% more
Philadelphia: 206.8 vs Cleveland: 117.4
Yards Per Play (L5) +35.3% more
Philadelphia: 5.9 vs Cleveland: 4.4
Total Yards (L5) +24.0% more
Philadelphia: 375.0 vs Cleveland: 302.4
First Downs (L5) +14.9% more
Philadelphia: 21.5 vs Cleveland: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 19.5 22
PHI Score 23.3 13
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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