MIAMI
DOLPHINSMIA
0-0-1 | Road
24
DETROIT
LIONSDET
1-1 | Home
17
Key Game
KEY GAME
Keith Cooper Jr.
#97 | Defensive Tackle@
KEY GAME
Jack Fox
#3 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Keith Cooper Jr. | None-None |
| Jack Fox | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
50%
LIONS
50%
DOLPHINS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
59.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MIA -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
MIA By 1-6 points
17.0%
MIA By 7-13 points
17.5%
DET By 1-6 points
15.2%
DET By 7-13 points
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
31.09
MIAMI
Detroit
27.99
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Miami
24
MIAMI
Detroit
27
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.1
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 59.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2025
MIA @ DET
24 - 17
Oct 30, 2022
MIA @ DET
31 - 27
Oct 21, 2018
DET @ MIA
32 - 21
Nov 9, 2014
MIA @ DET
16 - 20
Dec 26, 2010
DET @ MIA
34 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+67.4% more
Detroit: 148.3
vs
Miami: 88.6
Total Yards (L5)
+35.7% more
Detroit: 431.1
vs
Miami: 317.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+24.0% more
Detroit: 0.5
vs
Miami: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+23.4% more
Detroit: 282.8
vs
Miami: 229.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
31.1
24
DET Score
28.0
17
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -13.8
ATS +/-: -4.9
DET
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -13.8
ATS +/-: -4.9
DET
0-3-1
(0.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIA
DET
MIA
ML
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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