GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
0-1 | Road
23
INDIANAPOLIS
COLTSIND
0-1 | Home
19
Key Game
KEY GAME
Eric Johnson II
#-- | Defensive Tackle@
KEY GAME
Rigoberto Sanchez
#8 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Eric Johnson II | None-None |
| Rigoberto Sanchez | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
50%
COLTS
50%
PACKERS
--
COLTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
GB By 1-6 points
16.9%
GB By 7-13 points
18.4%
IND By 1-6 points
14.4%
IND By 7-13 points
11.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
28.7
GREEN BAY
Indianapolis
24.05
INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Green Bay
20
GREEN BAY
Indianapolis
24
INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Packers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colts
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Packers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Colts (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 52.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2025
GB @ IND
23 - 19
Sep 15, 2024
IND @ GB
10 - 16
Nov 22, 2020
GB @ IND
31 - 34
Nov 6, 2016
IND @ GB
31 - 26
Oct 7, 2012
GB @ IND
27 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+113.3% more
Indianapolis: 2.4
vs
Green Bay: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5)
+15.6% more
Indianapolis: 173.3
vs
Green Bay: 149.9
Total Yards (L5)
+9.6% more
Indianapolis: 380.8
vs
Green Bay: 347.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
28.7
23
IND Score
24.1
19
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
IND
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
IND
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
IND
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
GB
IND
GB
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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