Home / NFL Projections NFL / Jets @ Giants NYJ @ NYG

NEW YORK

JETSNYJ

1-0  |  Road

12
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 7:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

1-0  |  Home

31
Key Game
Dane Belton
KEY GAME

Dane Belton

#6 | Safety
@
Abdul Carter
KEY GAME

Abdul Carter

#3 | Linebacker
Player
Dane Belton None-None
Abdul Carter None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
50%
📊
GIANTS
50%
JETS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
39.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (New York)
JetsNYJ (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

60.1%

Giants Cover

39.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NYJ -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYJ)

NYJ By 1-6 points

17.0%

NYJ By 7-13 points

17.8%

NYG By 1-6 points

15.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
21.34
NEW YORK
17.76
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
23
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim Giants (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 39.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 43.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 NYG @ NYJ 23 - 6
Aug 16, 2025 NYJ @ NYG 12 - 31
Oct 29, 2023 NYJ @ NYG 13 - 10
Nov 10, 2019 NYG @ NYJ 27 - 34
Dec 6, 2015 NYJ @ NYG 23 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +25.7% more
New York: 1.7 vs New York: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +19.0% more
New York: 98.4 vs New York: 79.6
First Downs (L5) +15.1% more
New York: 19.1 vs New York: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYJ Score 21.3 12
NYG Score 17.8 31
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYJ
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYJ
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
NYJ
NYG
NYJ
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
ATS
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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