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WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

47-72  |  Road

8
FINAL
Wed, Aug 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

60-60  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Clayton Beeter
STARTING PITCHER

Clayton Beeter

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Luinder Avila
STARTING PITCHER

Luinder Avila

#58 | SP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Clayton Beeter None-None 8.64 -- 0.2 --
Luinder Avila None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
8.64 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
39%
📊
ROYALS
61%
NATIONALS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Kansas City)
NationalsWSH (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nationals Cover

28.0%

Royals Cover

72.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

WSH By 1-2 runs

12.6%

WSH By 3-4 runs

7.0%

KC By 1-2 runs

19.3%

KC By 3-4 runs

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.61
WASHINGTON
5.94
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
4
WASHINGTON
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Royals Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Royals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Royals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
C
Sim Royals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 17, 2026 KC @ WSH 6 - 2
Jun 16, 2026 KC @ WSH 4 - 6
Jun 15, 2026 KC @ WSH 3 - 7
Aug 13, 2025 WSH @ KC 8 - 7
Aug 12, 2025 WSH @ KC 5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington WSH
vs
Kansas City KC
162
Games Played
162
5.07 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.321 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.423 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.744 ▲
OPS
.718
210 ▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +58.0% more
Kansas City: 1.5 vs Washington: 0.9
Walks (L5) +41.1% more
Washington: 4.4 vs Kansas City: 2.6
Hits (L5) +19.1% more
Washington: 9.9 vs Kansas City: 8.0
Home Runs (Season) +19.0% more
Washington: 210.0 vs Kansas City: 170.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 3.6 8
KC Score 5.9 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 9.9 12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 7.8 6.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.0 / 16.0 17.0 / 18.0
Walks 2.6 / 4.4 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
WSH
KC
WSH
ML
55% 89-72
57% 92-69
56% 90-70
54% 87-74
ATS
57% 91-70
58% 93-68
58% 93-67
57% 91-70
TTL
58% 90-64-7
50% 77-78-6
54% 83-70-7
42% 65-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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