MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
56-63 | Road
4
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
64-56 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brent Headrick
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 5.64 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Brent Headrick | None-None | 3.13 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.64
ERA
Ldr 3.13
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
44%
YANKEES
56%
TWINS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
MIN By 1-2 runs
11.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
6.4%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.1%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New York
5.56
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.6
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 16, 2026
NYY @ MIN
4 - 5
Sep 15, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 1
Sep 14, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 3
Jul 5, 2026
MIN @ NYY
6 - 1
Jul 4, 2026
MIN @ NYY
11 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
187
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+97.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Home Runs (L5)
+86.8% more
New York: 2.1
vs
Minnesota: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+80.2% more
New York: 16.7
vs
Minnesota: 9.3
Hits (L5)
+69.9% more
New York: 8.3
vs
Minnesota: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
4
NYY Score
5.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 4.9
5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
2.1 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 7.5
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 9.3
9.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.6 / 5.9
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
MIN
NYY
MIN
ML
47%
76-85
52%
84-78
52%
85-77
50%
80-81
ATS
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
53%
86-76
59%
95-66
TTL
53%
81-73-7
51%
78-75-9
53%
82-72-7
53%
80-72-9
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